Lazio welcome Milan to the Olimpico: Probable tactics, line-ups and a prediction

By Oliver Fisher -

The upcoming Lazio vs Milan match on March 1st is drawing attention, not just for Italian football fans but also for those interested in sports betting.

Lazio will host Stefano Pioli’s Milan at the Olimpico in the opening match of the 27th round of the league. Looking at the last five clashes between Milan and Lazio, Milan dominates with four wins to one over Lazio.

The first one, played last September 30th at San Siro, saw the Rossoneri triumph 2-0 with goals from Pulisic and Okafor. This victory propelled Milan to the top of the table, quickly overtaken by Juventus and Inter. This background provides a crucial insight for bettors considering their odds.

Team analysis

Milan has secured 52 points in 25 league games, ranking them third, mirroring their championship-winning season’s points.

Despite a setback against Udinese, they’re only two points behind Juventus, with a recent record of three wins, one loss and a draw, the latest win against Napoli, thanks to Theo Hernandez and Rafa Leao.

This form positions Milan as a favorable option for betting odds, with Champions League qualification looking likely.

Lazio, in eighth place with 37 points and a game in hand over Milan, has had a mixed last five games: two wins, a draw, and two losses, including a 3-1 victory over Cagliari. Ciro Immobile’s scoring return, marking his 200th Serie A goal, boosts their attack.

Still competing in the Coppa Italia, with a semi-final against Juventus on the horizon, Lazio’s resilience could intrigue sports betting enthusiasts considering upset potentials.

Probable Lazio XI

Here is the most likely Lazio line-up for the match:

Barring last-minute injuries and suspensions, Lazio is expected to field Provedel in goal. Patric is ready to replace his fellow Spaniard Gila, who started against Cagliari and performed well, but the balance tilts in favour of Patricio Gabarrón Gil.

In defence, Pellegrini’s use is not ruled out. Rovella returns to midfield after being suspended against Cagliari. The infirmary also returns Zaccagni, absent due to a problem with his right foot. Romagnoli and Vecino have also served their suspensions.

Probable Milan XI

Here is the most likely Milan line-up for the match:

The Rossoneri lineup against Lazio currently sees Maignan in goal. The four in defence are Gabbia and Kjaer in the centre, T. Hernandez immovable on the left flank, and Calabria on the right.

The worst seems to have passed for the Rossoneri captain, who was diagnosed with an edema in the adductor of his left thigh during the game against Napoli. Calabria’s was the 34th injury of this season, the 27th of a muscular nature.

In the 4-2-3-1 of Pioli, Bennancer and Reijnders, returning from suspension, should find a place, and more advanced Rafa Leao, Loftus-Cheek, and Pulisic. Up front: Olivier Giroud.

Predictions and betting tips

Sports betting fans from Italy can already look for the best odds for the match on the best European betting sites that will take place at the Olimpico next March 1st. To place the right bet, it’s necessary to frame the match through some numbers.

Key statistics show Milan’s attack is stronger, with their top four scorers hitting 27 goals, while Lazio’s have 15. Milan has scored 49 goals this season to Lazio’s 31. In defence, Lazio have let in 26 goals, Milan 31.

Milan’s Giroud has the most assists, eight, and their team scores about 2 goals per game, compared to Lazio’s 1.22. Milan lets in a goal roughly every 80 minutes, Lazio every 87 minutes.

For betting, consider these teams’ scoring patterns. Lazio has seen Over 2.5 goals in 39% of games, while Milan has in 63%. Under 2.5 goals have happened in 61% of Lazio’s matches and about 33% for Milan. These insights help bettors with Goal/No Goal, Over/Under bets, and other popular betting options.


Looking ahead to the next match between Lazio and Milan, which will be played at the Olimpico in Rome on Friday, March 1st, we have analysed the current state of the two Italian teams. The standings and the streak of the latest results show Milan’s chances of winning might seem slightly superior.

Milan arrives in shape for the appointment at the Olimpico, but Lazio seems to have some issues, which is definitely a factor. This analysis provides insights for football fans in Italy into which team might offer better value bets.

Understanding the dynamics and potential outcomes of this match will guide bettors in making more informed decisions, whether considering win-lose scenarios or exploring more complex betting options.


Tags AC Milan Lazio Milan
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