Opta: Milan have a 5.7% chance in the Europa League – Pioli’s strong response

Stefano Pioli seemed fired up by a prediction that his side have a less than six per cent chance of winning the Europa League, insisting he will let his players know too.

The data company Opta Analyst revealed their calculations when it comes to who is the team that is most likely to go on and lift the trophy in Dublin in May.

It is perhaps no surprise that Premier League title candidates Liverpool lead the way with a 30.5% chance as per Opta’s algorithms, while Bundesliga leaders Bayer Leverkusen are second on 19.2% meaning there is an almost 50% chance one of those two win it.

Then, there is a sharp drop-off to Atalanta in third on 7.5%, following by Brighton at 7% and Benfica at 6.2%. At this point, you might well be wondering if they have forgotten Milan.

Opta believe that the Rossoneri – at 5.7% – are the sixth-likeliest to win the Europa League, and they are following by West Ham at 4.6%, Sporting CP at 4.4%, RC Lens at 2.8%, Marseille at 1.8% and Roma at 1.5%.

Milan sent a statement to their doubters with a 3-0 win over a Stade Rennais side who had won every game in 2024 last night, and after the game Pioli responded to Opta’s ranking.

“Right before the match my staff sent me a statistic according to which Milan have a 5% chance of winning the Europa League. I will use it to motivate my players,” he said.