Serie A and European 2024 predictions: Are Milan among favourites and potential winners?

By Oliver Fisher -

AC Milan started the 2023-24 season on a strong foot. Unsurprisingly, they have maintained their fine form with only 11 games left in the Serie A. The only setback was crashing out of the 2024 Coppa Italia in the quarter-finals after losing 2-1 to Atalanta and the Champions League.

Nonetheless, the Rossoneri are still strong contenders for the Europa League and are one point away from ranking second in the Italian League. But just how good is their performance this season?

In this article, a team of expert reviewers of the best Canadian betting sites explains all of AC Milan’s gameplay in detail. They’ll share insights on the team’s stats and how they’re doing in European contests. Plus, there is a peek into what might be coming for the team.

This information could be pretty handy for fans who like to guess how the team will do in future matches.

Serie A

The Rossoneri are the third most successful team in the Serie A, with 19 titles. Although currently third on the table, the football season is far from over, and a surprising upset could see them leapfrog league leaders and city rivals, Inter.

Stefano Pioli’s squad have played 29 games, during which they recorded 19 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses. The Rossoneri has scored 55 goals, the second-highest in the league, only behind Inter Milan with 69 goals. On the other hand, the Rossoneri have conceded 33 times. Hence, the goal difference is 22, also the third highest in the league. 

AC Milan is second on the League table with 56 points. In their last five matches, they won three times, drew once, and lost once. As a result, they are one point away from the second place where Juventus sits with 62 points. Although the latter has a 2 goal difference advantage, they lost their last two matches. A win for the Rossoneri could take them to second. 

European competitions

AC Milan finished the 2022-23 season fourth to qualify for this year’s Champions League. The Rossoneri found themselves in the acclaimed group of death, with fixtures against in-form Borussia Dortmund, Paris Saint-Germain, and Newcastle United. Let us explore how the team fared in the European Competitions below: 

UEFA Champions League

A dramatic climax to the group stage matches saw Milan crash out of the Champions League. The Rossoneri defeated Newcastle 2-1. Although it secured their qualification for the knockout stage momentarily, Paris Saint-Germain came from behind to draw Borussia Dortmund.

As a result, the team tied on 8 points with Paris Saint-Germain. Sadly, a minus 3 goal difference meant disqualification to the Europa League. 

UEFA Europa League

AC Milan faced French Ligue 1 club, Stades Rennes in the Europa Cup’s Round of 32. The Rossoneri won the first leg 3-0, with Ruben Loftus-Cheek and Rafael Leao scoring twice and once, respectively. However, the team slumped to a 3-2 defeat in the second leg.

The final aggregate scoreline was 5-3 in favour of the Rossoneri and they progressed to the round of 16. Their last match was against Czech Republic side Slavia Praha on Thursday, 14 March 2024. 

Squad overview and key players

AC Milan has one of the most impressive player lineups in the Serie A. As expected, everyone in the first 11 are key players, with each player registering over 70% pass accuracy apart from Olivier Giroud.

On the upside, Giroud has the highest goals (13) and assists (9) in 31 games. Others include Rafael Leao (9 goals, 7 assists), Christian Pulisic (8 goals, 7 assists), Luca Jovic (8 goals, 1 assist), Ruben Loftus-Cheek (7 goals, 1 assist), Theo Hernandez (6 goals, 10 assists), and David Calabria (4 goals, 4 assists). Mike Maignan has 10 clean sheets, the highest of the three goalkeepers. 

Mattia Caldara is the team’s most expensive player, costing €35,000,000 from Juventus. Others include Fikayo Tomori (€28,500,000), and Rafael Leao (€28,000,000.) Theo Hernandez, Tijani Reijnders, Yunus Musah, Christian Pulisic, and Samuel Chukwueze all cost €20,000,000. 

Tommaso Pobega suffered a hamstring injury in December but is expected back in April of 2024. Rafael Leao and Allesandro Florenzi both received yellow-card suspension on March 5 but will return on March 11.

Although the exclusion period is short, the absence of both players could have significant impacts on their next Serie A match. Other players at the risk of suspension are Yunus Musah, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, and Theo Hernandez. 

AC Milan performance analysis and predictions

The Rossoneri has a 62.96% win rate in Serie A and 50% in the UEFA Europa League. In the 29 domestic league games Stefano Pioli’s men played, they recorded 69% wins at home, 57% away, and 63% wins overall.

The average xG for is 1.50, while the average xG against is 1.31. Likewise, the average match goals average is 3.07, and the chances of not scoring in a match are only 7%. The team’s average possession is 56% and the shot conversion rate is 17%.  

The Rossoneri has won 7 penalties in Serie A and converted all of them. They managed a 37% clean sheet ratio, but committed 11.63% fouls. Milan scores a goal every 48 minutes in Serie A and concedes a goal every 76 minutes. Lastly, the team has a ratio of 59% over 2.5 goals. 

Bearing these stats in mind, we can expect a trend continuation into the future. Analysts predict that the Rossoneri will continue scoring more goals in an attempt to keep their title hopes alive and qualify for next year’s Champions League.

Likewise, the fine form will most likely see them through this season’s UEFA Europa League final. That said, the team’s form in the Serie A and Europa League is a gold mine for sports betting fans in Canada. 

Bettors can wager on Milan’s prolific goal-scoring or win record. For instance, over/under goals, double chance, handicap, and win either half, among others. Of course, it starts with choosing a reputable sportsbook.

We recommend you leverage a website like Leaflet Casino that reviews football betting sites in Canada to find the best bookmaker to gamble. The reviews include available betting markets, payment methods, bonuses, and more. 


Milan’s form in the Serie A is very good. The team has 19 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses. They have won 65% of their matches, and the Rossoneri’s home form is slightly better than their away form. Apart from the domestic league, the Europa League performance is similar.

Either way, Milan is positioned to finish the 2023-24 season in good spirits. The only things to watch out for are possible suspensions of key players and injury risks.


Tags AC Milan
Serie A Standings

Live football scores . Current table, fixtures & results.