AC Milan need to win their final game of the season, and in terms of opponents, they really couldn’t have more luck with the fixture schedule.
Four teams are still competing for the final two Champions League spots, and it will all be decided tonight. Milan and Roma are the big favourites to get things done as they only need to win their games, while Como and Juventus need a little bit more to succeed.
Read SempreMilan ad-free and get access to exclusive news. Click here for a free trial!
The Rossoneri will be up against Cagliari which, considering the history of the fixture, is pretty much as good as it can get. Our preview has taken a closer look at the match, while you can also find insight into the opponents. Below, you can find the key stats.
Milan vs. Cagliari: Key facts and stats
➤ Milan have lost only one their last 42 Serie A matches against Cagliari (W31 D10), scoring 83 goals in this period (2.0 on average) – the Sardinians’ only victory in this run was on 28 May 2017 (2-1 at the Sant’Elia).
➤ Milan have won 18 of their last 21 home Serie A matches against Cagliari (D3); the Sardinians’ last league victory at the Meazza against the Rossoneri dates back to 1st June 1997 (1-0 with a goal from Roberto Muzzi), when Carlo Mazzone was in charge of Cagliari and Arrigo Sacchi was on the AC Milan bench.
➤ After their win against Genoa, Milan could win two consecutive Serie A matches for the first time since early March (against Cremonese and Inter). Furthermore, the Rossoneri could score at least two goals in three consecutive league games for only the second time this season, previously doing so last December (against Torino, Sassuolo and Hellas Verona).
➤ Milan have picked up just one point in their last three home league games; the Rossoneri could record four consecutive home matches without a win in Serie A for the first time since February-April 2021 (D2 L2 on that occasion).
➤ Milan have won seven of their last eight Serie A final day matches (D1), including a 3-0 victory against Cagliari on 1st August 2020 at the Meazza. Cagliari, on the other hand, have lost five of their last six top-flight final day matches (D1).
➤ Cagliari have picked up just two points from their last six Serie A away games, failing to score in their two most recent; the Sardinians could go three consecutive away matches without scoring in the competition for the first time since November- December 2021. Milan and Cagliari have gained the most points from losing positions in Serie A this season, with both sides earning 14.
➤ Milan have scored more penalty goals than any other side in Serie A this season, netting seven from nine attempts; only in the 2020-21 campaign (15) have they scored more from the spot in a single season over the last five years.
➤ Cagliari are one of two sides against whom Rafael Leão has scored the most goals in Serie A, with six, level with Fiorentina. The Portuguese forward is currently AC Milan’s top scorer in Serie A this season with nine goals; in the three-points-for-a- win era, the Rossoneri have only finished one league campaign without a player reaching double figures, which was in 2018/19 when Krzysztof Piatek was their top scorer with nine goals (having arrived from Genoa in January).
➤ Sebastiano Esposito has scored seven goals in Serie A this season and is just one goal away from equalling his best scoring record in a single top. flight campaign (eight in 2024/25 with Empoli). The 23-year-old is Cagliari’s leading goalscorer and leading assist provider in the current Serie A season (seven goals and five assists).
