AC Milan have failed to score in four of their last seven games, with the attacking department failing to pull its weight.
As Corriere dello Sport (via MilanPress) report this morning, Massimiliano Allegri’s side have been in an obvious attacking crisis for some time, culminating in the heavy defeat against Udinese on Saturday evening at San Siro.
The coach rotated all available forwards in the squad without success. Since the international break, the Rossoneri have suffered two defeats with no goals scored. The numbers are alarming, with all the forwards having gone without a goal for a long time when looking at the individual stats.
No goals but plenty of chances
The problem however isn’t the creation of chances, because Milan produce them. The xG (Expected Goals) data shows that performances in front of goal are significantly inferior to the build-up play.
Expected Goals is a metric that measures the quality of a shot, assigning it a value between 0 and 1 indicating the probability that it will result in a goal. Developed using historical shot data, it considers factors like distance, angle, shot type and defensive pressure. A 0.2 xG shot means it has a 20% chance of scoring.
Milan underperform drastically in this area, with seven goals fewer scored by their forwards compared to the number expected via the xG metric. Only Christian Pulisic is around the expected numbers, but after an excellent start, he has slowed down and hasn’t scored since the end of 2025.
To go further into the numbers, Niclas Füllkrug has scored just one with a total xG of 2.6, Rafael Leao has nine goals with an xG of 9.62, Santiago Gimenez has no goals despite an xG of 2.88 and Christopher Nkunku has five league goals with an xG of 6.78. Pulisic has eight goals with an xG of 7.38.
There are mitigating factors such as physical issues, but they’re not enough to explain the decline. Allegri remains confident, but the situation will require intervention in the summer transfer window, because a top striker can turn some of those clear chances into goals.
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No way, stats tell the story that was evident for months? Who could have told. But you forgot to add a bit of sauce, how “strikers don’t work well under Allegri”. Which is another thing easily disproven by stats.