AC Milan are sitting 2nd in the Serie A table despite 9 draws and 2 losses. Well, they have also secured 15 wins and have a goal difference of +21, but looking at draws, only two other teams, Pisa and Lazio, have managed to draw more games.
You could argue that maybe if they hadn’t drawn so many games, they might be first in the league by now. Nine games is a lot to draw, so we’re going to look at why it might be happening.
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Any patterns?
AC Milan seems to have a thing for drawing matches. If you look at the 23/24 and 24/25 seasons, they finished with nine draws. Although it’s looking good for them so far in their 25/26 season, if you look at last year, fewer draws might have seen them finish higher in the table and maybe make an appearance in at least the Europa League.
But, like in the 23/24 season, nine draws have put them in 2nd position (and that’s where they finished in 23/24), so it doesn’t necessarily define their ability to finish high, but it probably does define whether they can actually win the league.
Funnily enough, the last time they won the league was in 2022, when they only drew 8 games, not that one less draw would make a difference this year, with Inter currently a solid 10 points ahead and with a +41 goal difference compared to AC Milan’s +21 goal difference.
What tracks, though, is that Milan struggle against ‘smaller’ teams. They remain undefeated against the top-half, but haven’t managed to regularly break down robust defences as the weaker teams sit in and absorb pressure.
That has even led, in some scenarios, to Milan having to claw back points from losing positions, something they’ve done frequently.
Allegri’s team dominate the ball, become frustrated – sometimes leading to disciplinary issues – and haven’t quite managed to find that winning formula often enough to truly challenge Inter. Look at football betting odds and Inter are firm favourites, with Milan set to finish just adrift of winning another Scudetto.
One of seven
It’s not just AC Milan with the draw curse: the following teams are also tied with nine draws:
- Como
- Atalanta
- Genoa
- Florentina
- Cremonese
- Verona
Those teams are doing a lot worse, especially Verona, sitting at the bottom of the table with 9 draws, 2 wins, and 15 losses. They just weren’t ready for this season, and neither was Fiorentina, who are 16th in the table this year compared to their 6th position finish last year.
Pisa wins out of all the teams, currently sitting on 12 draws, a measly one win, and 13 losses. After that, you’ve also got Lazio, with 10 draws, eight wins, and eight losses – another team that’s having a terrible season after finishing 7th last year.
It seems like any team with a love for drawing this year is cursed to finish far lower down the league than last year, unless it’s Milan.
Still improvement
Last season was a shambles, and that’s exactly why you’re not seeing them draw any games in the Champions League or even the Europa League.
The main difference, so far, is that Milan have nine draws, as we know, but 15 wins and only two losses. They’re second in the league with 54 points and a goal difference of +21.
For the 24/25 season, they finished 8th with nine draws and 18 wins but 11 losses. So, the main difference is that this year, they’re actually winning games instead of drawing or losing them, and the same thing happened in ’22/’23; they were just as good at winning games as they were at drawing them.
We know the Rossoneri won’t want to lose or draw any other games, with Napoli and Roma hot on their tails, with only a 4-point difference between the latter two and Milan. There are only 11 games left in the season, so let’s see if Milan will stay consistent and finish with nine draws… again.
