How Juve’s point deduction affects Milan with just two games left

Leao in Milan-Juve

The FIGC Prosecutor has asked for Juventus to be deducted 11 points due to their wrongdoing in the capital gains case. For AC Milan, this is a huge boost in their pursuit of a top-four finish. 


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Update: Juventus have been handed a 10-point deduction, rather than 11 points as first suggested. This was confirmed by FIGC’s Federal Court of Appeal this evening, as reported by ANSA (via Simone Cristao). The numbers below have been updated.

Milan (64 points) are currently in fifth place, two points behind Inter (66) and four points behind Lazio (68). Juventus are in second place with 69 points but the imminent deduction would send them down to seventh place with 59 points, but they could reach 62 again with a win against Empoli tonight.

The standings right now (*one game in hand): 

  1. Napoli 86
  2. Lazio 68
  3. Inter 66
  4. Milan 64
  5. Atalanta 61
  6. Roma 60
  7. Juventus 59*

Milan have Juventus and Hellas Verona left to face, with the former taking place at Allianz Stadium. The Rossoneri would secure a top-four finish with a win against the Bianconeri on Sunday, but the goal should be to not lose. In case of a loss, the Rossoneri would obviously have to beat Hellas Verona in the final round at San Siro and rely on Juve to drop points (depending on Empoli-Juve tonight).

Atalanta (61) could also catch up (three points behind Milan right now) with a win against Inter in the next round. However, Milan have H2H advantage and, as said, would thus only need to win against Verona.

Since Inter will face Atalanta in the next round, and then Torino, it’s also possible that Milan could finish above their rivals (thus third place). Second place will be harder to reach, though, as it depends on both Inter and Lazio. In any case, Juve’s deduction has made things significantly easier for Milan to finish top four.

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